Lagos Weather Market Guide

DNMM • Murtala Muhammed International Airport
Polymarket

Lagos, Nigeria's largest city and economic hub, offers a tropical savanna climate on the Gulf of Guinea. The city experiences warm conditions year-round with distinct wet and dry seasons.

Quick Facts

Station Code DNMM
Location Lagos, Nigeria
Coordinates 6.5774°N, 3.3211°E
Elevation 135 ft (41 m)
Timezone WAT (Africa/Lagos)
NWS Office Nigerian Meteorological Agency

About DNMM Weather Station

Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) serves as the primary weather observation station for Lagos. Located about 22 kilometers from Lagos Island, the airport sits at 135 feet (41 meters) elevation.

Lagos's position on the Atlantic coast of West Africa places it in the tropical monsoon zone. The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) maintains official observations.

Climate Patterns

Lagos has a tropical savanna climate (Koppen: Aw) with warm temperatures year-round and distinct wet and dry seasons.

Temperatures remain relatively stable throughout the year, with highs typically 29-33°C (84-91°F). The dry season (November-March) is influenced by the Harmattan wind from the Sahara. The wet season (April-October) brings heavy rainfall.

Humidity is high year-round due to the coastal location.

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Seasonal Trading Considerations

Dry Season (November - March): Slightly cooler with highs 30-33°C (86-91°F). Harmattan dust from the Sahara. Lower humidity.

Transition (April): Increasing humidity and occasional showers.

Wet Season (May - October): Highs 28-31°C (82-88°F). Heavy rainfall. High humidity. Brief dry spell in August.

Transition (November): Decreasing rain as Harmattan approaches.

Trading Tips for Lagos

The Harmattan season (December-February) brings dry, dusty air from the Sahara that can slightly lower temperatures and reduce humidity.

The wet season brings cloud cover and rain that moderate maximum temperatures.

The "August Break" - a brief dry spell in August - can bring warmer conditions.

Lagos experiences minimal temperature variation year-round.

Data Release Schedule

Typical release times for key data products at DNMM. Times shown in UTC.

Data Type Typical Time (UTC) Variability
METAR
Hourly observations
Hourly at :53 ±1 min

6-Hour High/Low Reports

These METARs include 6-hour maximum and minimum temperatures, useful for tracking intraday temperature trends.

00:53 UTC
06:53 UTC
12:53 UTC
18:53 UTC

Note: Times are approximate and may vary. CLI reports are the official resolution source for temperature markets. See NWS Data Guide for more information.

Forecasting Challenges

Narrow Temperature Range: Minimal annual variation makes distinguishing outcomes challenging.

Harmattan Intensity: The strength of Saharan dust events affects temperatures.

Wet Season Cloud Cover: Rainfall timing affects daily maximum temperatures.

Historical Temperature Records

Record High: 37.3°C (99.1°F) recorded during dry season.

Record Low: 15.3°C (59.5°F) recorded during Harmattan events.

📡 Official Data Sources

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